DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.