DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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