DeSart & Holbrook model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 47.0% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will end up with 53.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.