DeSart & Holbrook model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 58.7% for Clinton, and 41.3% for Trump in Delaware.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Delaware.