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DeSart & Holbrook model in California: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 61.9% for Clinton, and 38.1% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 61.3% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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