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DeSart & Holbrook model: Clinton tied with Trump in North Carolina

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump winning 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.1% and Trump 49.9% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. Clinton has 0.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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