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Delaware: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 53.5% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will end up with 46.5%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 0.0% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Delaware. This value is 53.5 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 60.1% of the two-party vote in Delaware. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 6.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 0.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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