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Connecticut: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 53.5% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will win 46.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 46.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, since they can include large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Connecticut has Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 53.5 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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