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Connecticut: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.6% for Clinton, and 46.4% for Trump in Connecticut. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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