Connecticut: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.1% for Clinton, and 41.9% for Trump in Connecticut.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they may include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.