The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.7% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, while Trump will win 46.3%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.
Historically, Colorado has been a battleground state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. Hence, forecasts in this state are of particular value.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Colorado sees Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 53.7 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 0.6 percentage points higher.