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Colorado: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.6% for Clinton, and 46.5% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.

Colorado is traditionally a purple state, where the candidates of both major parties have historically achieved similar voter support. Therefore, the election outcome here is regarded critical in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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