The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.6% for Clinton, and 46.5% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.
Colorado is traditionally a purple state, where the candidates of both major parties have historically achieved similar voter support. Therefore, the election outcome here is regarded critical in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.