The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.9% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, while Trump will end up with 47.1%.
In Colorado, the election outcome is usually close. This is the reason why the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Colorado.