Arizona: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.5% for Clinton, and 53.5% for Trump in Arizona.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they may include large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 53.0% of the two-party vote in Arizona. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Arizona.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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