The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 30.9% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will win 69.1%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they may include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.8% of the two-party vote in Alaska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 12.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.