Alabama: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 39.1% for Clinton, and 60.9% for Trump in Alabama.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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