Alabama: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 39.1% for Clinton, and 60.9% for Trump in Alabama.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.