The 538 (polls-plus) model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 52.8% for Clinton, and 47.2% for Trump. In comparison, on October 11 Trump was still predicted to garner 47.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they may include large biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 50.0%. This value is 2.8 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
The 538 (polls-plus) model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the 538 (polls-plus) model.