WSB-TV published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Georgia were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
WSB-TV poll results
The results show that 43.0% of participants plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 47.0% plan to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out between September 21 and September 22. The sample size was 600 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls can contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, you should rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 47.8% for Clinton and 52.2% for Trump. For comparison: 48.9% was obtained by Clinton in the WSB-TV poll on July 24, for Trump this number was only 51.1%.
Comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Georgia sees Trump at 52.6% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.4 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the WSB-TV poll. This difference is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote in Georgia. This means that Polly's prediction is 1.3 points above his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error shows that this difference is negligible.