Wisconsin: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 51.2% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will win 48.8%.
Putting the results in context
Single models often incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 51.9% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.