Washington: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 55.5% for Clinton, and 44.5% for Trump in Washington.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 57.4% of the two-party vote in Washington. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.