Utah: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 21.9% of the two-party vote share in Utah, while Trump will end up with 78.2%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 64.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 13.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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