South Dakota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 37.9% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, whereas Trump will end up with 62.1%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 60.4% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.