South Dakota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 37.9% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, whereas Trump will end up with 62.1%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 60.4% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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