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Pennsylvania: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 50.4% for Clinton, and 49.6% for Trump in Pennsylvania.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.0% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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