Oklahoma: Overwhelming advantage for Trump in new Sooner poll

Results of a new poll administered by Sooner were spread. The poll asked participants from Oklahoma for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

According to the results, 29.0% of respondents indicated that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 53.0% intend to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from July 20 to July 25 among 298 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.9 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they sometimes contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, you should consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

For the following comparison, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 35.4% for Clinton and 64.6% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 66.5% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 1.9 points above his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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