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Oklahoma: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 30.0% for Clinton, and 70.0% for Trump in Oklahoma.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 66.5% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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