North Dakota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 37.0% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will win 63.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 60.9% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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