Hit enter after type your search item

New Hampshire: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

/
/
/
130 Views

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 50.5% for Clinton, and 49.5% for Trump in New Hampshire.

Historically, New Hampshire has been a swing state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is why forecasts here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.1% of the two-party vote in New Hampshire. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Hampshire.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar