Nevada: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 51.1% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, while Trump will end up with 48.9%.

Historically, Nevada has been a purple state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions in this state are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they may include large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 51.0% of the two-party vote in Nevada. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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