Magellan (R) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Mississippi were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
Magellan (R) poll results
The results show that 39.0% of respondents will give their vote to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 54.0% would vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from August 11 to August 11 among 1084 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-2.9 percentage points, which means that the poll results for both parties' candidates differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be treated with caution, because they can contain large biases. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 41.9% for Clinton and 58.1% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.0% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. That is, the PollyVote is 2.1 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error shows that this deviation is insignificant.