Minnesota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.6% for Clinton, and 48.4% for Trump in Minnesota.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.