The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 52.5% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, while Trump will win 47.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models often contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote in Michigan. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Michigan.