Results of a new poll conducted by Talk Business/Hendrix College were circulated. The poll asked respondents from Arkansas for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Talk Business/Hendrix College poll results
Of those who replied, 34.0% said that they would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 0.0% indicated that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out among 0 participants.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of a single poll. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following analysis, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in values of 38.2% for Clinton and 61.8% for Trump.
Results compared to other polls
An average of recent polls in Arkansas sees Trump at 64.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.2 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Talk Business/Hendrix College poll.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. That is, the PollyVote is 3.1 points below his polling numbers.