Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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