Fort Hays St. University released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Kansas were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
Fort Hays St. University poll results
Of those who answered the question, 27.0% said that they will vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 44.0% declared that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out between July 11 and July 21. The sample size was 542 likely voters.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual poll. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields figures of 38.0% for Clinton and 62.0% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.5% of the two-party vote in Kansas. Hence, the combined PollyVote is 4.5 points below his polling numbers.