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Illinois: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 53.5% for Clinton, and 46.5% for Trump in Illinois.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they may incorporate large biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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