Idaho: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 30.4% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, whereas Trump will end up with 69.6%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include large biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 67.3% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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