Idaho: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 30.4% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, whereas Trump will end up with 69.6%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include large biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 67.3% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.