Georgia: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 43.4% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, while Trump will end up with 56.6%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they often contain substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Georgia.