Florida: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 48.0% of the two-party vote share in Florida, while Trump will end up with 52.0%.

Historically, Florida has been a purple state, in which neither the Democrats nor the Republicans have had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is why predictions in this state are of particular interest.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they can include substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 50.3% of the two-party vote in Florida. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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