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Field poll in California: Trump behind by 17 points

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On October 10, Field released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from California were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Field poll results
50

Clinton

33

Trump

According to the results, 50.0% of participants will cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 33.0% would vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 7 to September 13 with 1426 likely voters.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, don't put too much trust in the results of an individual poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, you should consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 60.2% for Clinton and 39.8% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of California polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 61.6%. Relative to her numbers in the Field poll Clinton's poll average is 1.4 percentage points higher.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 61.0% of the two-party vote in California. This means that the combined PollyVote is 0.8 points above her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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