DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will end up with 66.7%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.5% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.