DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will end up with 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.5% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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