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Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will win 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, don't put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 64.2% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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