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DeSart & Holbrook model in Texas: Trump is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 39.2% of the two-party vote share in Texas, while Trump will end up with 60.8%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Texas. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 3.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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