DeSart & Holbrook model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 54.0% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will win 46.0%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.