DeSart & Holbrook model in North Carolina: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 46.4% for Clinton, and 53.6% for Trump in North Carolina.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 51.1% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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