DeSart & Holbrook model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 53.0% for Clinton, and 47.0% for Trump in New Mexico.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.9% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.