DeSart & Holbrook model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 56.9% for Clinton, and 43.1% for Trump in New Jersey.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.9% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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