The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 56.9% for Clinton, and 43.1% for Trump in New Jersey.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.9% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.