DeSart & Holbrook model in Louisiana: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 38.4% for Clinton, and 61.6% for Trump in Louisiana.
Putting the results in context
Single models can contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 60.3% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.