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DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 70.5% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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