The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 59.9% of the two-party vote share in California, whereas Trump will win 40.1%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include large errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.