The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 34.8% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, while Trump will win 65.2%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 7.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Arkansas.