DeSart & Holbrook model in Arkansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 34.8% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, while Trump will win 65.2%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 7.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Arkansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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