Delaware: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 57.4% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will end up with 42.7%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 60.1% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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